Hi Everyone. My name is Owen and I am one of the Eisenhower Institutes Undergraduate Fellows and it is my pleasure to welcome you all to the newly created Eisenhower Institute Blog. The Eisenhower Institute Undergraduate Fellows: Jay Hagerman, Mark Fialkoff, Meg Goodwin, Mark Leno, Brett Jackson, and I will all be posting on the blog. Also, if you have a google account you are able to comment on this blog as much as you would like so please feel free to add your own input as well!
For the next few weeks we will be discussing the Primary Elections as they continue to excitedly unfold.
Today, I would particularly like to discuss the tumultuous events of last nights Potomac Primary and how they relate to future of the Clinton Campaign. While many of the broadcast news organizations have all but written Senator Clinton's obituary I have a much more logical approach to my analysis of the current situation.
While I was interning for Senator Clinton's campaign in New Hampshire I saw a very strong ground campaign with a healthy amount of money and a healthy attitude. It seems now that the problem with the Clinton Campaign has come down to her overall strategy from the beginning of the campaign which seems to be that she presumed an early victory in New Hampshire would carry her through to big wins on Super Tuesday.
That strategy seemed to be based on one well founded yet false assumption. The first of which was that Senator Obama would not be able to compete monetarily with the Clinton Campaign and thus would not be able to run strong campaigns on Super Tuesday in multiple states. We clearly see now that this assumption was false and has thus led to a stronger Obama Candidacy than was anticipated.
That being said, I would never discount the possibility of Hillary Clinton winning this primary. Her "firewall" of Ohio and Texas, are strong and currently in Ohio recent polls have her up at least 10 points. (See link below). I am very interested to see how the public perceives victories in Texas and Ohio.
Furthermore, there has also been wide speculation about the primary being decided right here in Pennsylvania. If this happens I think it is a great opportunity for Hillary Clinton. Governor Rendell has recently endorsed Senator Clinton and Pennsylvania's race is a closed primary which means only democrats and republicans can vote in it. This should spell trouble for Obama considering a very large portion of his support comes from independent voters voting in the democratic primary.
Today, I would particularly like to discuss the tumultuous events of last nights Potomac Primary and how they relate to future of the Clinton Campaign. While many of the broadcast news organizations have all but written Senator Clinton's obituary I have a much more logical approach to my analysis of the current situation.
While I was interning for Senator Clinton's campaign in New Hampshire I saw a very strong ground campaign with a healthy amount of money and a healthy attitude. It seems now that the problem with the Clinton Campaign has come down to her overall strategy from the beginning of the campaign which seems to be that she presumed an early victory in New Hampshire would carry her through to big wins on Super Tuesday.
That strategy seemed to be based on one well founded yet false assumption. The first of which was that Senator Obama would not be able to compete monetarily with the Clinton Campaign and thus would not be able to run strong campaigns on Super Tuesday in multiple states. We clearly see now that this assumption was false and has thus led to a stronger Obama Candidacy than was anticipated.
That being said, I would never discount the possibility of Hillary Clinton winning this primary. Her "firewall" of Ohio and Texas, are strong and currently in Ohio recent polls have her up at least 10 points. (See link below). I am very interested to see how the public perceives victories in Texas and Ohio.
Furthermore, there has also been wide speculation about the primary being decided right here in Pennsylvania. If this happens I think it is a great opportunity for Hillary Clinton. Governor Rendell has recently endorsed Senator Clinton and Pennsylvania's race is a closed primary which means only democrats and republicans can vote in it. This should spell trouble for Obama considering a very large portion of his support comes from independent voters voting in the democratic primary.
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5 comments:
I am interested to see if Clinton can come back after losing 8 (I think) straight primaries. Last night she made no mention of that of course in her speech in Texas. I just don't see how she will "bounce back"
Heartiest congrats to Owen Carhart for his creation of the Eisenhower Institute Fellows Blog, and for his first entry here. Great stuff! Ken Mott
I think the "bounce back" will come with Ohio and Texas. Polls are showing strong support for her there. The interesting thing about all of this to me is the spin being put on this as the end for her. She still has a lot of delegates and she still has a lot of support. We are still far from the end of this primary campaign
While the polls have her far ahead don't you think Obama will close those in the next few days.
of course he will close. I believe thats typical when approaching election day but I dont think there will be any upsets
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